Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 6.061230 7.078120 8.179213 9.455904 10.891106 12.450279 14.267745
2026-01-11 4.640931 5.979379 7.542712 9.487312 11.823891 14.523160 17.858019
2026-01-18 3.646016 5.084381 6.868221 9.210359 12.168517 15.742698 20.345767
2026-01-25 2.967032 4.436468 6.356276 8.995332 12.469547 16.823653 22.620972
2026-02-01 2.441850 3.897020 5.891690 8.749720 12.653043 17.703546 24.623390
2026-02-08 2.034767 3.455171 5.492069 8.524411 12.806221 18.506821 26.517407
2026-02-15 1.690821 3.052298 5.092453 8.242913 12.833529 19.109620 28.136380
2026-02-22 1.493373 2.845504 4.950902 8.305957 13.326517 20.344522 30.634712
2026-03-01 1.319132 2.650300 4.801677 8.334635 13.755923 21.492964 33.041732
2026-03-08 1.178211 2.490860 4.688746 8.401273 14.232296 22.714052 35.581810
2026-03-15 1.045472 2.326494 4.548385 8.406871 14.605790 23.789487 37.940170
2026-03-22 0.968524 2.254130 4.553115 8.641219 15.336055 25.408304 41.130420
2026-03-29 0.885383 2.160371 4.514203 8.803424 15.966449 26.912601 44.223290
2026-04-05 0.793111 2.034937 4.405724 8.837018 16.387884 28.112098 46.900471
2026-04-12 0.674900 1.836331 4.141189 8.575841 16.306045 28.524552 48.395283
2026-04-19 0.579726 1.671514 3.921561 8.373034 16.302039 29.047193 50.062039
2026-04-26 0.494411 1.513865 3.697692 8.141441 16.229434 29.448474 51.542431
2026-05-03 0.422428 1.374535 3.494371 7.929054 16.172066 29.862957 53.045518
2026-05-10 0.355791 1.235163 3.274114 7.663785 16.000928 30.076536 54.226263
2026-05-17 0.322283 1.177099 3.222331 7.723186 16.412144 31.263191 56.995230
2026-05-24 0.290035 1.116290 3.157543 7.750208 16.762413 32.355485 59.637619
2026-05-31 0.263438 1.066599 3.112496 7.813003 17.179249 33.570754 62.510304
2026-06-07 0.236185 1.009228 3.042896 7.818278 17.485517 34.603060 65.105071